PGA Tour: 2016 FedEx Cup Playoffs: BMW Championship

You should all know the format by now, top 30 in the FedEx standings come Sunday evening, will advance to the Tour Championship in two weeks time.

The BMW Championship returns to Crooked Stick GC, Carmel, Indiana for the first time since 2012, it is a long course, which will play longer because of heavy rain and the greens will be very receptive and only someone hitting the ball a long way is likely to win. I think that will be Rory McIlroy, it is not a very original choice, but there are doubts about all the other big name players IMO and the Ulsterman showed he is in terrific form, not just on Monday, but over the last three days at the Deutsche Bank, shooting 67-66-65 to win the tournament going away .

Rory won here in that last running, posting a -20 finish to beat Phil Mickelson and Lee Westwood by two, he had finished 24th at the Barclays and won at TPC Boston in build up, this year he was 31st and 1st, it is another Ryder Cup year like 2012 and the similarities are remarkable.

Key for us is that when Rory wins, he doesn't then just disappear off the leaderboard for several months like most golfers, far from it and once he finds his form, he likes to milk it ! Rory posted three wins in four starts in 2012, 3 in 3 in 2014 and he won twice in three outings last year, it just seems inconceivable he will not feature late here on Sunday, in a reduced field, in form and on a course where he is a proven winner and which plays to his strengths.

McIlroy ranked high in all main categories last week, but key was finishing 7th in "strokes gained putting", he has struggled with the flat stick little all year and was ranked #130 coming into the event, but it all came together with an average improvement of six strokes over four rounds and as Rory said after winning on Monday "things can fall into place very quickly." In terms of number of birdies, he had his 5th best week ever and the golf he played on Sunday was just on another level to anyone else and 5.6 strokes better than the "field" and in poor conditions, that was incredibly impressive.

Rory McIlroy to win outright 6.0- 6.50 general quote

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